Sahir, Intresting analysis on Pathan. I think to me he should solely fit into the team as a bowler before selecting him.
Firstly, I will clearly state that he fits into the side as a bowler alone.
His numbers above indicate his deserved place in the side for his bowling abilities alone, as no other Indian pace bowler has performed nearly as well.
Even assuming he is not one of the top specialist bowlers, I agree with your statement as long as we are playing 4 bowlers in a Test match, but not otherwise. In ODIs, the entire package has to be taken into account. That is not to say that every player has to be multidimensional, but that each player has to be weighed on his total abilities. It is possible for a specialist to outweigh an allrounder, but it is also possible for a player with allround skills to outweigh the specialist for a place in the side, even if he may not be as good in that one specific department of the game.
Obviously, if we are playing 5 bowlers, you cannot play 5 that do not know how to bat. If we go by the standard you set in ODIs, there would be several great ODI players left out of their sides. Abdul Razzaq is one such perfect example. He is not a better middle order batsman than Younis Khan, Mohammad Yousuf, Inzamam ul-Haq or Shoaib Malik. Neither is he a better bowler than Shoaib Akhtar, Mohammad Asif, Rana Naved (when in form), or probably even Umar Gul. We are not even counting Shabbir Ahmed, but he too will be back in the mix in a few months time. Therefore, Razzaq does not play? No, he does and rightly so. You have to look at the complete package a player brings to balancing his side.
A quick 30 runs is not something to be shunned. You can make the best bowlers first argument if you are talking about hit and miss batting of the Agarkar variety, averaging around 16 per innings. You can also make the argument if you are talking about bringing in a great specialist bowler in his place, like a McGrath or Asif. However, if you are talking about replacing Pathan with RP Singh, Sreesanth, and the likes in ODI cricket, that sounds ridiculous to me.
Even Pathan’s worst performance tour-wise with the ball, the last one versus the WI, is far better than Sreesanth’s average career performance (bowling average of 36.2 at an economy of 5.71) and comparable to RP Singh’s career record. Furthermore, RP Singh’s recent record is horrendous and far worse than Pathan’s, solely as a bowler. Over the past two series, against England and the West Indies, his last five ODIs, RP Singh has managed to take one wicket for 208 runs at an economy rate of 6.93! Are these really the great specialist bowling replacements we are discussing?
To me his batting is a myth at No.3, on one day and off the next. To me it is as simple as if he does not fit in as a bowler he is out. Then I will take that batting which is very good B.T.W as a bonus.
I agree that he is used too often at the number 3 position and he is not a specialist batsman. However, it is incorrect to completely dismiss his batting as simply a bonus. He is not Harbhajan Singh with the bat. He is averaging 30 runs per innings in the period we are discussing at a strike rate probably close to 90! That makes him a significant contributor with the bat, regardless of what position he comes (down the order is ideal and where he should be used most often).
There are times when I think Pathan is suited to come in at number 3, however. Yesterday was one of those situations, in my opinion. He should not be used as a pinch hitter when the team is chasing a huge target and we have just lost a wicket. That is not the type of situation where a pinch-hitter comes off. Similarly, when chasing a small target he is not needed since there is no pressure to score that quickly.
When setting a target, he should not be used if the team has lost an early wicket, because the team cannot afford to quickly be two down should he not come off. However, when setting a target and provided a very good opening partnership, Pathan can be used at the number 3 slot. This is the time when he will be most effective. He will have the license to go over the top and simply have to think about striking the ball cleanly and using his power. He can bat with freedom knowing the loss of his wicket will not put the side in any peril.
He has to be used when a gamble can be afforded, when there is a good platform provided by the openers that he is trying to cash in on by accelerating the innings early on. If he comes off like he did yesterday, then it will propel India towards a big total. If it does not come off, then India is still about 80 for 2 with a good healthy run rate and has only lost a lower order player. His role with the bat has to be that of a dangerous floater like an Afridi whose job is to maximize a good position into possibly a great one.
Down the road he can be what Imran was during his twilight years.
Let us not compare him to Imran Khan in any manner, even an early 90s Imran. One of the greatest disservices done to players is comparing them to legends and Pathan already has to live in the shadow of Akram because of some ill-advised early predictions.
Then the line I highlighted is the one I am worried about. In WI's he was so sub-bar that he had to be dropped for the tests. Let us see how he does tomorrow.
Let it be known that the line you highlighted was Pathan’s statistics in the WI—6 wickets at an average of 29.82 and economy rate of 5.59. He was dropped from the Test matches primarily because of fatigue and the feeling that he was jaded, which he certainly seemed to be. I had no qualms with him being dropped from those Tests, with the exception of one Test, because there was usually nothing in the surface for bowlers and Test cricket requires seam-up bowlers to have either pace or swing. If the conditions were not going to be conducive for swing, and we know Pathan does not have pace, he does not play in a Test side with 4 bowlers, as I stated earlier in this response.
However, let it also be noted that this performance in the West Indies is still not that bad. It is worse than the other brilliant performances from Pathan with the ball in ODIs, but still far better than anything delivered from Sreesanth and RP Singh, as I pointed out earlier in this response. He makes the side on bowling merits alone.
Also in the chat we discussed how well he swung the ball. Since you observed he bowled to the wrong batsman the onus of that falls a bit on Dravid as well.
Yes, I thought Dravid’s captaincy in the field during those 20 overs was downright poor—about as poor as it gets. When you can see it is raining and the umpires have already discussed taking the players back, how can you possibly let the 20th over be bowled just before you are dragged off. One simple discussion with a bowler or field change would have ensured that the 20th over was not completed and the match would have ended in a no-result.
As far as bowling changes are concerned, I could not understand at all why RP Singh was brought on to bowl instead of Munaf, especially when Gayle was batting. Munaf is clearly the bowler that provides the least amount of width to the batsmen and was the ideal bowler to have on with the new ball along with Agarkar.
Still a countries strike bowler should come up with better than 22 in 2 overs.
Sure, he should have come up with better figures than that. However, a bowler certainly cannot be judged simply by two overs to Chris Gayle, especially not a bowler with a great track record, and especially not when Dhoni dropped a regulation chance off Gayle in one of those overs. The story would have been completely different otherwise. Had Dhoni caught that, West Indies would have been 8-1 and Pathan would have had figures of 5-1 at the time. That ball went for a boundary instead and so did two others later in that over.
Let us hope it is a case of one off day. If not Aussies will be very unforgiving. That would put further dent to his confidence.
I hope it was just two bad overs and considering he was swinging the cricket ball at a pace of over 130 km/h, it could well be so. As far as denting his confidence, I do not think so. He could get hit around the park and I think he has the right attitude to take it in stride, believe in himself, and come back to fight another day. The prime example is his comeback against Shahid Afridi, a player similar in nature to Chris Gayle. Afridi carted Pathan, along with the rest of our bowlers, all around the ground when he came to India. However, this year, in Pakistan and in Abu Dhabi, Pathan got Afridi out cheaply several times, making him a non-threat, even despite all the hype in Pakistan about the battle of the Pathans and the tougher one (supposedly Afridi at the time) prevailing.
There is also a member of this DG that met Pathan recently and discussed his extensive conversations with me. Pathan while disappointed to be dropped for the Tests, was not that low in confidence, primarily because he is fully aware of the confidence that Rahul Dravid, Greg Chappell, and the selectors have in him and have told him so. He is considered by Dravid as a certainty for and a major player in the upcoming World Cup.
If I were Dravid I will atleast take the new ball out of his hand and let him relax a bit before bringing him on.
Once again tomorrow, it would depend on the conditions for me. If the conditions are conducive to the ball swinging big time, making it difficult to control, then I would bowl Munaf and Agarkar with the new ball to Hayden and Jaques, both left handers, with Agarkar swinging it back into their pads and getting the odd one to hold its line.
I think another factor I have a suspicion is may be he is a little bit out of gas with all this non stop cricket. May be they need to sit him down for a series or two. That is something to worry about down the line.
I think he was out of gas in the WI, but he has had a pretty good break since. He was bowling at over 130km/h in his entire brief spell and fielded (one very good diving stop on the boundary) and batted with verve. It looked like the gas tank was very much full yesterday. Therefore, I have no concerns on that front.
Though he is not part of my preferred line up I am sure he will play tomorrow and I wish him nothing but the best.
Okay—then who is part of your preferred ODI lineup in conditions where there is help for pace bowlers? Is it Sreesanth with his career record of 36.2 runs per wicket at an economy rate of 5.71 or RP Singh who has takes one wicket over the past 2 series for 208 runs at an economy rate of 6.93? Surely on a wicket where there is grass, with the ball swinging in humid conditions under lights, and the small size of the ground, you need to have at least 3 pace bowlers, and maybe even four. It will be very difficult to bowl too many overs of spin in these conditions.