indcric:
The fact is strategy 2 is nothing new --in fact it is used not only when a wicket falls but also in the opneing part of an innings frequently. I find it curiously amusing and irritating that the focus when discussing this happens to be only one player.
To DBP -- I have shown before on the DG that in innings above 40 (at the time I did the analysis, a month ago), SG's DBP hovers between 48% to 54%, which is perfectly within the acceptable range for an innings of any significant length.
I also find it surprising that the DBP (or alternative terms to get to the same issue) is applied exclusively to one guy in the Indian team, totally ignoring others as also the fact that during the first 15/20 overs, more fielders are inside the circle which prevents the easy single on offer.
back to the nagpur match in question, do look at SG's single taking after he was set / PP were off. Runs were attempted almost every ball, even if singles did not come off the bat, significant number of leg byes were taken. raw statistics sometime need to be parsed as well.
Now to acceleration -- I believe there are 2 points behind this.
Point 1)
When one batsman blazes away, the other batsman usually scores at a brisk but not extremely fast rate --this is pretty well established tactics based on understanding between batsmen. Since SG & SRT have started opening again, part of the comparatively slower going is attributable to this.
Point 2)
SG's acceleration was not an issue post comeback -pre WC as much as it has been an issue post WC. And I believe therein lies a chunk of the answer.
Reinforcement matters. How and what you reinforce has an effect on the outlook of a player and how he adapts to it.
After the WC, there was a slew of abuse, criticism and very downright nasty allegations levelled against SG and SRT. From selfishness to playing for contracts to the worst of them all -conspiring to create groups and destabilize RD. These allegations were fanned by BCCI even as the team management remained mum about exonerating either of these 2 players, resulting in a public media trial of scorn, while the players were gagged by contract.
The BCCI clashed with the selectors and forced the latter to drop SG and SRT for the Bang ODI series as punishment for the WC, even though DBV in an act of defiance, refused to categorize the dropping as such, calling it as resting.
Given the events, this creates insecurity, especially for a player coming back into the team. Add to that the fact that SG was never as assured of his spot as SRT and neither is his stature as great as that of the person deigned as "Demi god" by the BCCI itself.
Insecurity, IMO, has bred to an extent a more risk averse approach -- knowing fully well that his every move from DBP to rotation of strike to his contract with advertisers is under intense and close scrutiny by public and a hostile BCCI, I believe he has taken refuge in the fact that as long as he scores consistently at 45 with a SR of 72-75 as opposed to an average of 36 with a SR of 80 (I am presenting hypothetical numbers here), he would be less under such unfair and scorching scrutiny. The approach calls for eschewing some risks, which I believe he may have done, consciously or unconsciously.
The way out of it is for someone (selectors, team management) to talk to him and explain that he is not under match to match scrutiny and that playing his natural game will not be held against him.
Unfortunately, no one has, even as a slander campaign continues through newspapers and he gets bombarded by mixed messages (the local bengali dailies have been highlighting this issue where SG is being given the impression that 2 failures and he would be dropped by some while some others -selectors included, are saying how can he be dropped after being the 2nd highest run scorer in ODI's in 2007).
Cases in point -- the most recent report about Yuvi and MSD apparently criticizing him in selection meetings followed by MSD's denial. Stories about selectors wanting to drop him followed by some selector telling him he should continue the way he is playing. Add to that the fact that Niranjan Shah "dropped" him from one ODI --in direct contradiction to MSD and selectors' versions.
Confidence or lack thereof is a huge factor in shaping a person's thought process as well as output. And I think SG as far as his spot in the team is concerned is in a mental funk, because he does not have any clue about what the performance standards for him are, and why they are different for him as opposed to others.
Finally, wrt acceleration, let us not forget that SG is not the same SG he was earlier from an ODI perspective.